Oil, Energy, and Tech

         It seems to be that my prediction on oil may be true, as I said that it would fall to 55 WTI before rebounding. It is currently at 68. Remember that I said this when it was at 80+ I have a futures account and wish I had the $ to trade in it. I have been dead accurate on some predictions considering the time frame that I thought that this would take place and what would take place. I am not advocating or saying you should trade oil futures. I just see a huge opportunity with oil right now, I see a 55 price in January, if not sooner. OPEC is not looking to maintain prices, they are looking to maintain production. I am seeing this as a way not show weakness to a growing oil production within the US and a decline of oil demand. Some sectors that were taking some huge gains today because of this are airlines (Delta) and transportation (UPS), of course, because lower fuel cost equal bigger margins for the airlines who are always highly leveraged. Some sectors getting pounded are Energy and some Technology (Solar.) Railroads (CSX) took a blow also because of the lower demand and growth of oil related drilling equipment, I don't think this is because of decline in shipments of oil or oil related products. Solar City on of my stocks that I see future growth in, will take a hit in the near future due to economic collapse of the oil price. SCTY was down 3% when I checked it this morning. I only see this going down further, more around $40 a share. I would buy at this point, currently I am planning on shorting SCTY for the short term. I will be looking for a point to flip and buy for the long term. Another are I am looking at is within an ETF call XLK that tracks the big technology companies. Such as Google and Apple. I see this as a big winner in the future. I am including an article on fuel hedging by Fortune.

http://fortune.com/2014/06/02/secret-club-kate-kelly

Mentioned
WTI
SCTY
CSX
GOOG
AAPL
Delta
UPS


I hold currently:
AAPL 117 Call Dec 12
IDTI
CSX
FHYVX

I left my TWTR calls, that was an awful call. I dumped it early enough when I realized this, I got out without losing a ton. I still lost though. not fun! not used to that. 

Oil and Production

Does everybody like cheap gas, we'll get ready for less than $2. OPEC and Saudi not to cut oil production. 69.00 a barrel right now.

Oil falls as OPEC opts not to cut production http://www.cnbc.com/id/102222286

Record High and GDP

$AAPL 10M shares traded already, in under 20 min. Now a $700B company. GDP with a surprise at 3.9%, expexted 3.3%. OPEC in my mind will not cut production and will try an increase to consumption.

Morning Chat
Kelvin

"The Buy Side"

AAPL a month ago

I knew this stock was going to blow up a month ago. 100 Calls :)

S&P following midterm elections

Anybody who has a 401k or any retirement needs to put it in the S&P 500. Over the past 90 years the S&P has gained 15% the year following the midterm elections with republicans winning. ‪#‎damnnearguaranteed‬ (I am not licensed, so I cant legally give advice. Do your own due diligence

Trying to Graduate

Been super busy and trying to graduate college and get ready for Spartan Death Race. I will Blog later tonight. I would sell a call or put on TWTR at 40 right if I had the FCF. Talk later

Sports Betting

Lets see how good I am at picking college football. I have LSU +2 1/2 and Georgia -2

NOV 14, Market and Commentary

Friday,

What a crazy day it has been. I was awake most of last night, till around 1am. I was deciding on what I wanted to buy on Friday morning. I had some left to invest after my profit from holding AAPL NOV22 Calls. I decided on TWTR as you can see from my post early this morning. I purchased some Calls. 41 NOV 28 AND  41 NOV 14. I sold both before the close today. I have been experiencing with what I will call "Gorilla Trading" I sneak in and out of the market very quick with buying options with high delta very close to expiration. I was spot on today, with TWTR up around 4.5% at close and both options well over 200% return. I don't go for broke, but I risk enough to make it feel worth it. Since I am paying commission in all. I also saw were oil (Brent) and WTI are bot below 80 with it only looking like it is going to go lower, as I predicted. I wish I had enough to sell some oil futures, I don't have it like that yet. I have mentioned several times that I will be posting some info about my phone Interview with Turney Duff, I have every intention of doing so. I mention in my profile that I am a college student. I am currently writing a research paper that he was a source for and is mostly about him towards the end. With this in mind, I want to finish it and send it to him for the review. This is only the right thing to do, since he was kind of enough to help me with the info I needed. He is a really nice guy and humble about his accomplishments. I will publish my paper when I am done. The title I will reveal is "A Wall Street Trader's Story of Spectacular Excess Vs. A Las Vegas Handicapper's Story of Exaggerated Success" If you would have asked me a year ago if I would be talking to Turney Duff on the phone I would have said you were dreaming. Anyways moving on. I have been offered or connected with based off my Bloomberg BAT (a finance aptitude test) by several hedge funds wanting to discuss employment possibilities with them. Lets see how this goes. Not sure how my wife will take it, but she will go with the money goes. I saw today were Carl Icahn at one point in time today had taken a 123m hit on Hertz. Damn!! Many hedge funds had to release their holding today, I figured some of them had the same ideas I had. Most of the time I can figure out what they are doing, I just don't have the cash or backing to pull it off, so I just have to write about it so they people can see that I clearly know what I am doing and where the market it going. I just am a financial midget compared to a billionaire. The market was again positive today. I was very happy about DOW chemical who I wrote an analyst report for in my class was up very high. I still want to be invested in them. I am just trying to sneak in and out of the market right now so that I don't get trapped and have cash on hand. I will end by something that made me laugh recently. My wife and I were watching CNBC and it was the closing bell of the NYSE. I said "shhh" it closing bell I want to hear and see this. She said "they do this everyday?' I  said "like clock work at 430pm" blew her mind. She know how much I love the market and everything that goes on with it. I am not making fun of her, she is like most of the American Public. They have no idea what goes on, it is up to professionals like myself to inform them and be their advocate. I take pride and responsibility in that fact and want nothing more than to make them as successful as myself. I plan on opening a mutual fund in the future. So I will end on that. Look forward to Sunday night as I will be posting my pre Monday thoughts. I am a huge football fan (GO Dawgs) so I will more than likely not post this weekend. Feel free to email me with questions. I will always answer.

Long : CSX, IDTI, TWTR, DOW, AAPL (short term), and LOCK
Short : OIL, Hertz,  FB

I am not licensed and this is for informational purposes only. You should do all your own due diligence before you invest. I am not authorized to give advice or persuade you to invest by the SEC. 

TWTR

I will be posting a full update later. I just wanted to update the fact that I just purchase 4 NOV28 TWTR 41 Call Contracts

Turney Duff

I will be posting my review of my conversation/interview with Turney Duff (the author of 'The Buy Side") later on tonight.

NOV 13

Afternoon,

      Today started off a little slow for me, I was running behind, but as I was walking to my cart to head off for the day. I checked my Stock App and saw apple at 113.40. I was so stoked. I was up tremendously and as I posted early I had a feeling in October that this would be a boom when the stock was around 99-100. Looks like I was dead on. I must mention that I did sale my options this morning, because I think 113 is going to be a sticking point to at least next week when my options expire I still had a huge profit. TWTR which I am bullish on had a huge gain yesterday of around 7.27% when I looked. I had a strong feeling this would happen. I saw there was a pull back today to around 40. Although, I see it around 50 by March 15. It is just too much of society today and I see it being a huge part of everyday life even more than it already is. CSX and IDTI are also up today slightly as of this morning. I have not checked them recently. they always seem to bounce back in the afternoon. LOCK which I mentioned to be bullish on is down slightly today at -.56%. I certainly believe this to be temporary. GLL is also an ETF that I am interested in and always have been. I still believe gold to be largely over valued. 

Recap

TWTR

CSX

IDTI

AAPL

GLL

LOCK

This is not investment advice nor am I licensed, this information is mention for conversation and info purposes. All investment decisions should be made after careful investigation and due diligence are your own part. 

Kelvin Brown

Nov 12

Hello All,

      Looks like today has been a boom, as I am writing this AAPL stock is at 111.10 up 1.27% from yesterdays afternoon run up to 109.73. I think that now we have broke 110 I will hold my options for at least the end of this week. I have made a killing off the just 4 contracts I bought. I see apple by sum of next year trading around 125. They have had very few down days. One day I was watching there was a new all time high every 27 Minutes. As I said yesterday I was bullish on TWTR today on some promising news of a better platform and interface for app developers, TWTR was above 41.00 at 3.24% gain. I believe that I will be purchasing some Call options on these once I get out of my AAPL options. CSX was also up around .5% and has been on a rip the last two weeks, up around 2.00 per share. I am still bullish on IDTI although it trades down slightly around 17.90 today. If I had plenty of money I would buy all I could in IDTI, since they have 0 debt and have been constantly showing wall street an earnings season surprise. I look everyday at certain things I fell solid about. I am going to go back in GLL soon and also some options/purchase shares of TWTR. I think TWTR will trade around 70 by summer.  I tend to keep cash in my account for when I see great opportunities, otherwise I use it to buy shares in small growth companies I think have huge upside potential. There are a few that I am looking at like LOCK (lifelock) as people become more and more afraid of Identity theft. I will be posting tonight about two very interesting topics that are not market related. They are my recent interview with Turney Duff the NY times best selling author of "The Buy Side" and my recent recruitment invites by a few major investment banks and hedge funds (basically how it happened to me and how I got their attention)

Sincerely,

Kelvin Brown

This is not investment advice, be sure to do your own due diligence and research

Nov 11 Market

NOV 11,

First of all happy veterans day and to all veterans, thanks for your sacrifice. I am a veteran and do not take this day for granted for those who gave the ultimate sacrifice. Today I am going to talk about some things I am watching. First is AAPL stock and where it is going. I will go ahead and let everyone know on OCT 23 I bought NOV 22 104 AAPL calls. I tried to purchase Nov22 100 calls on the 21st, but the order did not go through. This was my fault. I am currently up significantly as you can see I am almost 2.5 times my investment. I am still holding it and I am not sure what to do. It seems that everyday the stock seems to pin up an down to 109 since it has passed 109. I think if AAPL does not close above 109 by end of week, I will sell my options, as I do not see it going any higher in the near future before my options expire. The market options significantly lower today and has risen slightly mid day. Let see what happens in the last hour of the day. Some stocks I am looking to go log on are TWTR, GLL, IDTI, and CSX. I have held CSX for a year, IDTI for 3 mths, and I don't currently own TWTR or GLL. If you look back to my older post you will see in April I purchased GLL through my fake school account, and today it is trading at 105.00. This is almost double from April. I hope I can make some good calls in the future. I see oil going down to 55 before making a rebound and gold going to 800 before a rebound. Lets see if I am right.

I must mention that I am not a licensed broker and nor am I advocating you purchase these securities. I am just using this blog to share my opinion and how I see the market going

Kelvin Brown

Im Back!!!

Im Back!!!

So, I have been out for awhile because I have been super busy with school. I am just trying to graduate at the moment. I am sorry. It seems that my call on gold was a huge success. I would watch for 800 before I see a jump back up. I am going to be posting everyday around 10am-1pm everyday during the week and maybe on Sundays for pre Monday market. I look forward to blogging again.

Kelvin Brown